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  • Bitcoin Breaks $65K, as Price Action Compared to Prior U.S. Election Cycles
  • Crypto

Bitcoin Breaks $65K, as Price Action Compared to Prior U.S. Election Cycles

cryptovert October 15, 2024 2 min read
  • Bitcoin
    (BTC)
    climbed
    above
    $65,000,
    marking
    a
    4%
    increase
    in
    24
    hours,
    influenced
    by
    positive
    movements
    in
    the
    S&P
    500
    and
    expectations
    of
    stimulus
    in
    China.

  • Trading
    firm
    QCP
    Capital
    highlighted
    similarities
    between
    current
    price
    actions
    and
    those
    seen
    before
    U.S.
    elections
    in
    2016
    and
    2020,
    suggesting
    a
    pattern
    where
    Bitcoin
    sees
    significant
    gains
    in
    the
    weeks
    leading
    up
    to
    the
    election,
    fueling
    ‘Uptober’
    optimism.

  • The
    S&P
    500
    also
    opened
    at
    a
    new
    high,
    indicating
    a
    bullish
    market
    trend,
    which
    often
    correlates
    with
    cryptocurrency
    performance.

Bitcoin
(BTC)
rose
above
$65,000
in
U.S.
morning
trading
hours
Monday
as
the
S&P
500
index
opened
to
fresh
highs,
with
some
traders
arguing
that
historical
price
patterns
witnessed
ahead
of
prior
U.S.
presidential
elections
might
offer
a
reason
to
be
bullish
ahead
of
November’s
upcoming
vote.

BTC
is
up
4%
in
the
past
24
hours,
data
shows,
with
the
broad-based
CoinDesk
20
(CD20),
a
liquid
fund
tracking
the
largest
tokens,
up
3.1%.

SPX
rose
14.8
points,
or
0.25%,
at
the
open
to
5,829.81
ahead
of
a
week
packed
with
corporate
earnings
and
economic
data,
per
Reuters.

BTC
rallied
from
$62,000
to
$65,000
since
early
Asian
hours
Monday,
liquidating
over
$80
million
of
BTC
and
ether
(ETH)
leveraged
shorts
–
or
bets
against
the
tokens.
The
early
move
came
on
renewed
hopes
of
a
future
stimulus
for
Chinese
markets,
which
tends
to
move
riskier
assets,
including
cryptocurrencies.

Trading
firm
QCP
Capital
said
the
move
was
similar
to
BTC’s
price
action
in
2016
and
2020
before
the
U.S.
elections.

“If
we
look
back
to
2016,
BTC
traded
in
a
very
tight
range
for
over
3
months,”
QCP
traders
said
in
a
broadcast
message.
“It
wasn’t
until
three
weeks
before
U.S.
Election
day
that
BTC
began
its
rally
from
$600
and
finally
doubling
its
price
by
the
first
week
of
January.”

“Similarly,
in
2020,
BTC
was
stuck
in
a
boring
range
for
half
a
year
and
only
started
rallying
from
$11K
just
three
weeks
before
U.S.
Election
day,
reaching
a
high
of
$42K
by
January,”
they
added.

“Today’s
rally
has
definitely
given
the
market
a
glimmer
of
hope
just
as
Uptober
optimism
was
fading,”
the
traders
said,
referring
to
October’s
historically
bullish
seasonality.

October
has
only
twice
ended
in
the
red
since
2013
–
chalking
gains
of
as
high
as
60%
and
an
average
of
22%
to
make
it
the
best
for
investor
returns.
However,
prices
have
largely
remained
stable
in
the
past
two
weeks,
denting
investor
hopes.

The
bitcoin
price
was
around
$63,330
on
Sept.
30,
so
the
largest
cryptocurrency
is
up
just
a
touch
on
a
month-to-date
basis.


A
CoinDesk
analysis

has
shown
that
most
gains
in
October
tend
to
come
in
the
second
half
of
the
month
–
with
price
jumps
as
high
as
16%
generally
appearing
after
Oct.
15.

Continue Reading

Previous: Bitcoin Takes Another Shot at $63.5K as China’s Vague Fiscal Stimulus Deters Capital Shift
Next: Liquidity and Options Pave the Way for Bitcoin ETF Market Expansion

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